Russell Sherwood Tuesday, February 8, 2022
The Counties and Districts is upon us again. The Ward-Higgs is especially interesting with 4 Welsh teams involved.
C & DCCC 2022/23Division 1 - Ward-Higgs
The draw has thrown up some intriguing stats.
Four predictive measures have been used
- Average Team Rating
- Elo Prediction (Adding up all those 57% scores)
- Adjusted Elo Prediction (Converting the percentage scores to a result, prior to adding)
- Russell's Special Forecast
Looking at these:
Yorkshire A look a strong contender for first place but then again got related two seasons ago! Lancashire A and Essex A look most likely to chase them home.
East Wales B and West Wales Dau look most likely to be rejected but this is often the case.
These predictions are a little surprising considering the Welsh effective dominance over recent seasons but only a fool would write off Welsh chances, both for the Championship and avoiding the drop.
Of course, nothing ever goes as predicted ,but an exciting tussle looks to be on the cards.
North Wales have a much different experience to come in the Third Tier, the Butler-Thomas, although promotion appears well within reality!
C & DCCC 2022/23 Division 3 - Butler Thomas
Good Luck to All